What do The Dukes of Hazzard, M*A*S*H, and The Love Boat all have in common? They were top-rated television programs in 1982; the last time inflation was hovering in the 7% range.
When inflation is running hot, you can feel its overreach in almost every corner of the economy. People see it when they buy gas at the grocery store, but its influence touches mortgage rates, credit card debt, and overall consumer confidence.
Managing inflation is the job of the Federal Reserve, and the Fed’s approach with monetary policy reflects its near single-minded focus on higher prices in 2022. The Fed raised short-term interest rates at its March meeting, and Fed Chair Powell signaled more is needed before the Fed can wrestle control of inflation.
It may be only a matter of time before the Fed’s policies temper inflation. Some see a change in the second half of the year, while others say 2023 is more likely. But in the months ahead, it’s possible inflation reports will bring back memories of Laverne & Shirley and Magnum, P.I.
Our team continue to monitor the situation and will keep you updated if we believe any portfolio changes are needed.